Planejamento de força baseado em capacidade: adequado para Marinha do Brasil?

Abstract

In an era of social, economic and internationa l multiple changes, which contained geopolitical settings, we realize that a great paradigm shift is occurring, wher e the uncertainty, relations in networks and economic interdependence ar e increasingly nowadays and contribute to decrease the distance between the people and the States and, therefore, tend to increase the likelihood of conflict. Now, the international system is more complex and undefined, resulting in a wide range of diffuse nature threats wi th variable forms. The Brazil’s international presence is growing and the wide availability of energy, food, extensive reserves of drinking water, huge biodiversity and vast mineral resour ces, become the Country target of greed. All that equity requires defense. Despite its voca tion for peace, Brazil cannot live without military deterrence and preparation for defense against exte rnal threats. In this context, the Brazilian Navy (BN) is inserted and must be ready to coun teract any threat that may arise. Due to the fact that there isn’t a systematic process of Force Planning established on BN, this study assesses the suitability for use of Capabilities-Based Planning (CBP) on Navy. To this end, this academic work is addressed in chapters with the following dynamics: at first, a brief introduction, followed by the description of f undamental concepts and presentations of the historical evolution of Force Planning. Furthe r, the main Force Planning methodologies are identified, among them the CBP. Later, the Force Planning is contextualiz ed in Brazil and an analysis of the possibility of CBP adoption by th e BN is made. Finally, the study's findings are presented, which show that the CBP is suitable and contributes to incr ease the organizational effectiveness by being simple, dynamic and interactive process whose adoption as a systematic Force Planning is opportune for the BN, since certain conditions are observed.