A relação entre as Marinhas da China e do Brasil a partir de uma abordagem prospectiva: cenários prospectivos holísticos e participativos para tomadas de decisão conscientes no contexto brasileiro

Abstract

The Sino-Brazilian relashionship encompass not only the mutually relevant comercial front but equally the precepts of non-intervention, mutual knowledge and joint development in its various facets. Althought there are administrative and regulatory frameworks that allow its Evolution the opportunities and cooperative structures on the area of Defence has been underutilized, remaining unknown for part of the State itself and its agents, as well as by citizens in general. Considering this context, the present study aimed to raise the debate on Chinese and Brazilian Navies relationship’s potentialities and opportunities and offer a research product applyable to support conscious decision-making under and on the topic. Employing the Prospective Scenarios method, it was possible to draw the current picture of the relationship, identifying its main variables, prospecting them and, in the end, developing prospective scenarios narratives useful for knowledge and planning activities of actors of interest’s. Four scenarios were elaborated under the time frame from now until the year 2039, a relevant year in Chinese and Brazilian strategic documents