Os impactos da crise da Venezuela na região norte do Brasil

Abstract

enezuela, since the death of Hugo Chávez and the rise to power of President Nicolás Maduro, faces a crisis unprecedented in its contemporary history, with internal reflexes, mainly in the social and economic area, and external ones, such as the increase of the migratory flow to the border countries, such as Brazil and Colombia, which causes health problems and threats to the economy of the border cities. Political pressures are making the situation of the country's government unsustainable, and tend to increase the problems even more, which makes governance difficult, and can have serious implications for Brazil's strategic environment. Venezuela's internal issues, since 2014, are no longer restricted to its borders, since more than 4.5 million people have already left the country by 2019, and are moving mainly to their South American neighbors, resulting in the impact on various economic and social sectors in the recipient countries.This paper discusses the current Venezuelan crisis, with the main objective of analyzing how the social and economic impacts caused by the crisis in Venezuela affect the northern region of Brazil.The methodology adopted included a bibliographic and documentary research, aiming to seek theoretical references from bibliographies produced by authors who dedicated themselves to studying the context of the current crisis in Venezuela and its consequences, in addition to the author's experience as an intelligence analyst.The data obtained were evaluated and interpreted through analytical reading and comparative analysis, exposing the historical antecedents of one of the greatest crises in Venezuelan history, with an approach to the factors that led Hugo Chávez to central power, and how his replacement was triggered by the current President of the Republic, Nicolás Maduro.Then, it details the Venezuelan crises, from the social, political and economic point of view, and their developments in the current scenario, as well as pointing out the main external actors with geopolitical and economic interests in the current conjuncture of crises in the Caribbean country.Finally, when analyzing the impacts of the Venezuelan crisis in the Northern region of Brazil, it is concluded that Brazilian border cities do not have the structure to support the overflow of external crises, through the exodus of citizens from neighboring countries, and it is proposed to elaborate of public policies in order to mitigate these impacts.