A guerra cibernética entre Rússia e Ucrânia, à luz das Teorias de Clausewitz, particularmente entre 2014 e 2022.

Abstract

The research objective of this work is to investigate how Clausewitz's theories remain relevant in the context of modern warfare, particularly in cyber warfare. Despite the technological advances that shape contemporary conflicts, Clausewitz's fundamental principles remain unchanged. The "fog of war" persists in the information age, exacerbated by the overload of data that complicates decision-making. The identification of the "center of gravity," central points of power and movement, is vital in modern military strategy, encompassing both tangible and intangible targets, such as public opinion and political stability. Friction is encountered in the complexity and uncertainty of operations, including the difficulty of identifying the origin and extent of attacks. The protection of critical infrastructures, such as energy and communications, is crucial for the security of a state, reflecting the ongoing relevance of Clausewitz's concepts. Events like BlackEnergy and NotPetya demonstrate how these principles remain applicable in the information age. The integration of conventional and cyber strategies underscores the importance of Clausewitz in modern strategic analysis. Therefore, Clausewitz's theories, far from being obsolete, have adapted and remain essential to contemporary military analysis and strategy. They not only retain their relevance but also gain depth through the incorporation of new technologies and the need for a comprehensive strategic approach that encompasses both traditional and cyber components. In this way, the enduring applicability of Clausewitz's theories reinforces their importance for understanding and conducting military operations in the current context of cyber warfare.