O estudo da intuição nas operações militares: a influência do pensamento intuitivo no processo de tomada de decisão de um Comandante de submarino convencional

Abstract

The objective of the research is to investigate the influence of intuitive thinking on the decision-making process of a conventional submarine commander during the execution of their tasks at sea. The research is based on the distinction between intuitive and rational thinking, using the theories of Daniel Kahneman (2012) and Gary Klein (2003) as a foundation. The Recognition-Primed Decision Model, theorized by Klein, was compared to the reality faced by a conventional submarine commander, as presented by instructors responsible for the submarine commander courses in the United States, United Kingdom, Netherlands, Norway, Australia, and Canada. The conclusion was that conventional submarine commanders use intuitive thinking during the execution of their tasks at sea, which provides them with quick and effective responses in high-pressure environments. The research also indicated that the combination of practical experience and intuitive thinking can surpass the mere application of rational processes, especially in contexts where time and information are limited.